Financial Projections

Updated: December 5, 2025
Version: 2.0

5-Year Forecast (Conservative)

Budget Update

Previous budget (€85K) was incomplete - missing €45K in essential infrastructure. Updated to realistic €130K for complete infrastructure.

Year 0: Infrastructure Phase

Investment: €130K (complete infrastructure)
Revenue: €0 (building phase)
Deliverables: 1 cottage built, MRV device tested, platform operational

Year 1: Launch Phase

Revenue: €630-840 (CCT sales from 14 tonnes CO₂)
Revenue: €24-60K (subscriptions, 100-500 subscribers)
Total Revenue: €654-900K
Costs: Operational (€20-30K)
Net: €624-870K revenue (Year 1)

Year 2: Growth Phase

Revenue: €28K (2nd cottage eco-tourism)
Revenue: €630-840 (CCT sales from 2 hectares)
Revenue: €48-120K (subscriptions, 200-1000 subscribers)
Total Revenue: €706-988K
Costs: Operational (€40-60K)
Net: €666-928K revenue (Year 2)

Year 3-5: Scaling Phase

Revenue: €94-255K (5-7 cottages eco-tourism)
Revenue: €3,150-4,200 (CCT sales from 5-7 hectares)
Revenue: €120-300K (subscriptions, 500-2500 subscribers)
Total Revenue: €3,364-4,755K
Costs: Operational (40-50% of revenue)
Net: €1,682-2,378K profit annually

ROI Summary

4-8x return over 5 years

Conservative: 4x (€130K → €520K enterprise value)
Optimistic: 8x (€130K → €1,040K enterprise value)

Revenue Streams

T1: B2B Carbon Credits (CCT)

Year 1: €630-840 (14 tonnes @ €45-60/tonne)
Year 2: €630-840 (14 tonnes from 2 hectares)
Year 3-5: €3,150-4,200 (70 tonnes from 5-7 hectares)

T2 Basic: Consumer Subscriptions

Year 1: €24-60K (100-500 subscribers @ €10-50/month)
Year 2: €48-120K (200-1000 subscribers)
Year 3-5: €120-300K (500-2500 subscribers)

Eco-Tourism Revenue

Year 1: €9-25K (1 cottage)
Year 2: €28K (2 cottages)
Year 3-5: €94-255K (5-7 cottages)

Investment Options

Option A: Equity Investment

Stake: 7-10% equity in Secret Trees Gardens LLC
Returns: Profit sharing from property revenue
Exit: Acquisition or IPO potential

Option B: Future NFT Membership

Offer: NFT membership (Phase 2, 2027+)
Benefits: DAO governance, platform discounts
Returns: NO financial returns (governance only)

For complete business model, see Investment Memo and Business Model.